Tanzania’s Economic Outlook: Growth Projections and Fiscal Plans for 2025

By Economic Researcher Swastik Pravit Jallepalli , Agency
Published at 11:13 PM Apr 11 2025
Tanzania’s Economic Outlook: Growth Projections and Fiscal Plans for 2025
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Tanzania’s Economic Outlook: Growth Projections and Fiscal Plans for 2025

Tanzania is on a trajectory for continued economic expansion, growth rate projections have increased from 5.4% in 2024 to 6% in 2025 thanks to the government’s strategic initiatives and prudent fiscal policies that have been aimed at fostering sustainable development.

To stimulate economic development, the government of Tanzania has proposed a 13.4% hike in its budget for the upcoming fiscal year commencing July 2025, elevating total expenditure to 57.04 trillion shillings.


 This substantial increase highlights the administration’s commitment to improving the infrastructure, enhancing social services, and fostering greater economic activity in the region. Additionally, the government plans to generate 40.97 trillion shillings from domestic sources, showcasing a robust strategy for self-reliant financing. 


A significant portion of the budget will be spent on infrastructure development including transportation networks, energy production, and telecommunications aiming to improve connectivity and facilitate trade. Additionally, substantial funds are allocated to improve education and healthcare services showcasing the government’s dedication to improving the quality of life.



The budget framework has included measures to enhance the collection of revenue through improved tax systems broadening the tax base. Moreover, efforts have been made to secure concessional loans and manage public debt to ensure that the increased expenditure does not compromise the financial stability of the nation.



In the first quarter of 2025, the country’s headline inflation rate has been projected to remain stable at around 3.1%, with core inflation at 3.5% well below the central bank's target of 5%. The Bank of Tanzania's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) met on April 3rd, 2025, and decided to maintain the Central Bank Rate (CBR) at 6% for the second quarter of 2025, aiming to support liquidity, control inflation, and foster economic growth. 



In terms of trade, improved export performance has helped narrow the current account deficit driven by increased export earnings from gold, agricultural products, and a revitalized tourism industry. As of February 2025, the foreign exchange reserves have exceeded $5 billion providing a sufficient cover for about 5 months of projected imports which is satisfactory of the East African Community (EAC) benchmark. This solid external position has enhanced the country’s resilience to economic fluctuations around the world.


Aligning itself with global environmental goals, Tanzania has also involved itself in the "Great Blue Wall" plan which is aimed at establishing a network of interconnected, nature-positive seascapes in the Western Indian Ocean to achieve a nature-positive world by 2030. The initiative aims to fund marine conservation through innovative financial instruments such as debt-for-nature swaps.


Tanzania's proactive fiscal strategies, commitment to infrastructural and social development, and prudent economic management exhibit the qualities of a nation on the rise. With stable inflation, strong foreign reserves, and a focus on sustainability, Tanzania is well-positioned to achieve its growth aspirations and enhance the prosperity of its citizens in the coming years.